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234007 VO Introduction to Demographic Theories, Global Human Capital and Social Change (2025W)
Introduction to Demographic Theories, Global Human Capital and Social Change
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An/Abmeldung
Hinweis: Ihr Anmeldezeitpunkt innerhalb der Frist hat keine Auswirkungen auf die Platzvergabe (kein "first come, first served").
Details
max. 30 Teilnehmer*innen
Sprache: Englisch
Prüfungstermine
- Montag 09.02.2026 16:45 - 18:15 Seminarraum 7, Kolingasse 14-16, OG01
- Donnerstag 09.04.2026
- Dienstag 28.04.2026
- Montag 22.06.2026
Lehrende
Termine (iCal) - nächster Termin ist mit N markiert
- Montag 06.10. 16:45 - 18:15 Hörsaal 16 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 2.Stock
- Montag 13.10. 16:45 - 18:15 Hörsaal 12 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 2.Stock
- Montag 20.10. 16:45 - 18:15 Hörsaal 12 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 2.Stock
- Mittwoch 29.10. 16:45 - 18:15 Hörsaal 8 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Montag 03.11. 16:45 - 18:15 Hörsaal 12 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 2.Stock
- Montag 10.11. 16:45 - 18:15 Hörsaal 16 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 2.Stock
- Montag 17.11. 16:45 - 18:15 Hörsaal 16 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 2.Stock
- Montag 24.11. 16:45 - 18:15 Seminarraum 16 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 3.Stock
- Montag 01.12. 16:45 - 18:15 Hörsaal 16 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 2.Stock
- Montag 15.12. 16:45 - 18:15 Hörsaal 12 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 2.Stock
- Montag 12.01. 16:45 - 18:15 Hörsaal 12 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 2.Stock
- Montag 19.01. 16:45 - 18:15 Hörsaal 12 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 2.Stock
- Montag 26.01. 16:45 - 18:15 Hörsaal 12 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 2.Stock
Information
Ziele, Inhalte und Methode der Lehrveranstaltung
Art der Leistungskontrolle und erlaubte Hilfsmittel
At the end of the course there will be one comprehensive in-room exam.
Mindestanforderungen und Beurteilungsmaßstab
a) Maximum number of points that can be achieved: 100
b) Minimum requirement for a positive result: 50 points
c) Scale of marks:
89 - 100.....percent Grade 1
76 - 88.......percent Grade 2
63 - 75.......percent Grade 3
50 - 62.......percent Grade 4
Under 50 percent Grade 5
b) Minimum requirement for a positive result: 50 points
c) Scale of marks:
89 - 100.....percent Grade 1
76 - 88.......percent Grade 2
63 - 75.......percent Grade 3
50 - 62.......percent Grade 4
Under 50 percent Grade 5
Prüfungsstoff
Basic demographic concepts
The stable population model
The life table model
The theory of demographic metabolism
The theory of demographic transition
The theory of a demographic dividend
Drivers of mortality decline
Drivers of fertility decline
Different approaches to population forecasting
Population scenarios by level of education
Aging, dependency ratios and migration
Population and sustainable development
The stable population model
The life table model
The theory of demographic metabolism
The theory of demographic transition
The theory of a demographic dividend
Drivers of mortality decline
Drivers of fertility decline
Different approaches to population forecasting
Population scenarios by level of education
Aging, dependency ratios and migration
Population and sustainable development
Literatur
The essential reading will be the new textbook Advanced Introduction to Demography by Wolfgang Lutz. Other readings will be assigned at the beginning and during the course.
Zuordnung im Vorlesungsverzeichnis
Letzte Änderung: Mo 20.04.2026 08:46
This lecture provides an introduction to the principles and basic foundations of the discipline of demography. It will familiarize the participants with the history of demography as well as the basic concepts and approaches that distinguish demography from other social sciences. There will be a focus on genuine demographic theories that have predictive power. This will be illustrated in applications to the modelling and forecasting of global human capital (population structures by age, sex and level of education) as well as other structural social changes that happen primarily through inter-generational replacement. After successfully completing this course, the participants will be equipped with a sound foundation in demographic thinking and its application to many of the pressing issues of our times.
Contents:
It starts with a focus on concepts of cohort versus period analysis and introduces some basic demographic concepts and methods such as the stable population and the life table. Next it will introduce three demographic theories that have predictive power, namely the theory of demographic metabolism, the theory of demographic transition and the theory of a demographic dividend. Examples and applications of all three theories will be given and the state of knowledge on the drivers of the global mortality and fertility declines will be discussed. The lecture will also cover trends in migration and human capital formation as well as the processes of changing population age structures. It will introduce different approaches to multi-dimensional population forecasting and illustrate them with alternative scenarios on world population and global human capital over the 21st century.
Method(s):
Since this is a lecture course, most of the information will be communicated in the form of lectures. The content will to a large extent follow the new book Advanced Introduction to Demography by W. Lutz. Other readings will be assigned at the beginning of the course. In every session there will also be question and answer sections as well as structured discussions.