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290057 VU Multi-hazard risk assessment (2020W)

3.00 ECTS (2.00 SWS), SPL 29 - Geographie
Prüfungsimmanente Lehrveranstaltung

An/Abmeldung

Hinweis: Ihr Anmeldezeitpunkt innerhalb der Frist hat keine Auswirkungen auf die Platzvergabe (kein "first come, first served").

Details

max. 40 Teilnehmer*innen
Sprache: Englisch

Lehrende

Termine (iCal) - nächster Termin ist mit N markiert

Montag 12.10. 11:15 - 13:15 Digital
Montag 02.11. 11:15 - 13:15 Digital
Dienstag 03.11. 11:15 - 13:15 Digital
Montag 09.11. 11:15 - 13:15 Digital
Montag 16.11. 11:15 - 13:15 Digital
Montag 23.11. 11:15 - 13:15 Digital
Montag 30.11. 11:15 - 13:15 Digital
Montag 07.12. 11:15 - 13:15 Digital
Montag 14.12. 11:15 - 13:15 Digital
Dienstag 15.12. 11:15 - 13:15 Digital

Information

Ziele, Inhalte und Methode der Lehrveranstaltung

The course introduces quantitative multi-hazard risk assessment, and discusses how the risk components (hazards, elements-at-risk and vulnerability) can be mapped and quantified, and how risk information can be used in risk reduction planning. The main focus of course is on the quantitative analysis of how risk changes, and how information on changing risk is used in decision making for disaster risk reduction. The course first addresses the hazard component, and focuses in particular on hydro-meteorological hazards, where an integrated physically-based modeling approach is presented (based on the OpenLISEM Hazard tool). Methods for mapping elements-at-risk and their main characteristics (e.g. land use, type, value, population) are discussed. Approaches for physical vulnerability assessment using different element-at-risk types are presented. Several methods for loss and risk assessment are presented, as well as a number of available tools. Different risk metrics are discussed. Risk evaluation is discussed and various approaches for risk reduction planning are treated, and the way these change the risk components. Risk reduction is calculated and various methods for comparing risk reduction alternatives are treated. Cost benefit analysis is explained as one of the tools to define which alternative is best, and other indicators are reviewed in a stakeholder workshop. The development of future scenarios is presented in terms of climate change, land use change and population change, and the methods for calculating risk for various future years. Finally, optimal combinations of risk reduction alternatives under future scenarios are treated.

This course is closely linked with the course 290061 UE Methods for analysing disaster risk assessment (2020W), which is given on the same day in the morning, and which contains the accompanying exercises, in which the methods are demonstrated using a tutorial dataset, using GIS tools

Art der Leistungskontrolle und erlaubte Hilfsmittel

The assessment is carried out using a number of assignments:
• Elements-at-risk quantification (individual, report): 20%
• Analyzing vulnerability curves (individual, presentation): 20%
• Risk assessment (individual, excel ): 20%
• Cost-benefit analysis of risk reduction alternatives (individual, excel): 20%
• Stakeholder analysis of risk reduction alternatives (group, presentation): 20%

Mindestanforderungen und Beurteilungsmaßstab

• Regular participation (at least 80%)
• Positive evaluation of all deliverables.

Prüfungsstoff

There will be no examination. Assessment is done via a number of assignments.
• Elements-at-risk quantification (individual, report): 20%
• Analyzing vulnerability curves (individual, presentation): 20%
• Risk assessment (individual, excel ): 20%
• Cost-benefit analysis of risk reduction alternatives (individual, excel): 20%
• Stakeholder analysis of risk reduction alternatives (group, presentation): 20%

Literatur

Bell R, Glade T (2004) Multi-hazard analysis in natural risk assessments. Risk Anal 9:197–206
Forzieri, G., Feyen, L., Russo, S., Vousdoukas, M., Alfieri, L., Outten, S., ... & Cid, A. (2016). Multi-hazard assessment in Europe under climate change. Climatic Change, 137(1-2), 105-119
Gallina, V., Torresan, S., Critto, A., Sperotto, A., Glade, T., & Marcomini, A. (2016). A review of multi-risk methodologies for natural hazards: Consequences and challenges for a climate change impact assessment. Journal of environmental management, 168, 123-132.
GAR ( 2017 ) Global Assessment Report on Disaster risk, Unveiling Global Disaster Risk https://www.preventionweb.net/english/hyogo/gar/atlas/index.html
Gill, J. C., & Malamud, B. D. (2014). Reviewing and visualizing the interactions of natural hazards. Reviews of Geophysics, 52(4), 680-722.
Kappes M, Keiler M, von Elverfeldt K, Glade T (2012) Challenges of analyzing multi-hazard risk: a review. Nat Hazards 64(2):1925–1958
van Westen, C. J., & Greiving, S. (2017). Multi-hazard risk assessment and decision making. Environmental Hazards Methodologies for Risk Assessment and Management, 31.
Van Westen, Cees et al (2018) Atlas of Natural Hazards and Risk of Georgia.
http://drm.cenn.org/index.php/en/background-information/paper-atlas
Van Westen et al. (2020) . Multi-Hazard Risk Assessment in Tajikistan. http://tajirisk.ait.ac.th/

Zuordnung im Vorlesungsverzeichnis

(MG-S1-PI) (MG-W1-PI)

Letzte Änderung: Di 13.10.2020 13:29