Universität Wien FIND

Jetzt impfen lassen für ein sicheres Miteinander im Herbst!

Um allen Angehörigen der Universität Wien einen guten und sicheren Semesterbeginn zu ermöglichen, gibt es von Samstag, 18. September, bis Montag, 20. September die Möglichkeit einer COVID-19-Impfung ohne Terminvereinbarung am Campus der Universität Wien. Details unter https://www.univie.ac.at/ueber-uns/weitere-informationen/coronavirus/.

Achtung! Das Lehrangebot ist noch nicht vollständig und wird bis Semesterbeginn laufend ergänzt.

230231 VO Introduction to Demographic Theories, Global Human Capital and Social Change (2021W)

Introduction to Demographic Theories, Global Human Capital and Social Change

4.00 ECTS (2.00 SWS), SPL 23 - Soziologie
Mo 18.10. 10:00-13:00 Digital


Hinweis: Ihr Anmeldezeitpunkt innerhalb der Frist hat keine Auswirkungen auf die Platzvergabe (kein "first come, first served").


max. 30 Teilnehmer*innen
Sprache: Englisch


Termine (iCal) - nächster Termin ist mit N markiert

Mittwoch 20.10. 10:00 - 13:00 Digital
Freitag 22.10. 10:00 - 13:00 Digital
Montag 08.11. 10:00 - 13:00 Digital
Mittwoch 10.11. 10:00 - 13:00 Digital
Freitag 12.11. 10:00 - 13:00 Digital
Montag 22.11. 10:00 - 13:00 Digital
Mittwoch 24.11. 10:00 - 13:00 Digital


Ziele, Inhalte und Methode der Lehrveranstaltung

This lecture provides an introduction to the principles and basic foundations of the discipline of demography. It will familiarize the participants with the history of demography as well as the basic concepts and approaches that distinguish demography from other social sciences. There will be a focus on genuine demographic theories that have predictive power. This will be illustrated in applications to the modelling and forecasting of global human capital (population structures by age, sex and level of education) as well as other structural social changes that happen primarily through inter-generational replacement. After successfully completing this course, the participants will be equipped with a sound foundation in demographic thinking and its application to many of the pressing issues of our times.
It starts with a focus on concepts of cohort versus period analysis and introduces some basic demographic concepts and methods such as the life table. Next it will introduce three demographic theories that have predictive power, namely the theory of demographic metabolism, the theory of demographic transition and the theory of a demographic dividend. Examples and applications of all three theories will be given and the state of knowledge on the drivers of the global mortality and fertility declines will be discussed. The lecture will also cover trends in migration and human capital formation as well as the processes of changing population age structures. It will introduce different approaches to multi-dimensional population forecasting and illustrate them with alternative scenarios on world population and global human capital over the 21st century. It will conclude with considerations of population related policies.
Since this is a lecture course, most of the information will be communicated in the form of lectures. The content will to a large extent follow the new book Advanced Introduction to Demography by W. Lutz (to be published in September 2021). Other readings will be assigned at the beginning of the course. In every session there will also be question and answer sections as well as structured discussions.

Art der Leistungskontrolle und erlaubte Hilfsmittel

a) Maximum number of points that can be achieved: 100
b) Minimum requirement for a positive result: 50 points
c) Scale of marks:
91 - 100.....points Grade 1
78 - 90.......points Grade 2
64 - 77.......points Grade 3
50 - 63.......points Grade 4
Under 50 points Grade 5

Mindestanforderungen und Beurteilungsmaßstab

At the end of the course there will be one comprehensive exam. Depending on the Covid situation it will be either a take-home exam or an in-room exam.
There will be six questions: Two more broad questions that need to be answered in short essays and four more specific and more technical questions. A calculator may be used.


Basic demographic concepts
The life table model
The theory of demographic metabolism
The theory of demographic transition
The theory of a demographic dividend
Drivers of mortality decline
Drivers of fertility decline
Different approaches to population forecasting
Population scenarios by level of education
Aging, dependency ratios and migration
Population and sustainable development
Population policies


The essential reading will be the new textbook Advanced Introduction to Demography by W. Lutz (to be published in September 2021). Other readings will be assigned at the beginning of the course.

Zuordnung im Vorlesungsverzeichnis

Letzte Änderung: Do 15.07.2021 10:29