040039 UK Applied Macroeconomics (BA) (2019W)
Track in Macroeconomic Policy
Continuous assessment of course work
Labels
Registration/Deregistration
Note: The time of your registration within the registration period has no effect on the allocation of places (no first come, first served).
- Registration is open from Mo 16.09.2019 09:00 to Mo 23.09.2019 12:00
- Deregistration possible until Mo 14.10.2019 12:00
Details
max. 50 participants
Language: English
Lecturers
Classes (iCal) - next class is marked with N
- Monday 07.10. 09:45 - 11:15 Hörsaal 7 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Tuesday 08.10. 11:30 - 13:00 Hörsaal 8 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Monday 14.10. 09:45 - 11:15 Hörsaal 7 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Tuesday 15.10. 11:30 - 13:00 Hörsaal 8 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Monday 21.10. 09:45 - 11:15 Hörsaal 7 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Tuesday 22.10. 11:30 - 13:00 Hörsaal 8 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Monday 28.10. 09:45 - 11:15 Hörsaal 7 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Tuesday 29.10. 11:30 - 13:00 Hörsaal 8 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Monday 04.11. 09:45 - 11:15 Hörsaal 7 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Tuesday 05.11. 11:30 - 13:00 Hörsaal 8 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Monday 11.11. 09:45 - 11:15 Hörsaal 7 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Tuesday 12.11. 11:30 - 13:00 Hörsaal 8 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Monday 18.11. 09:45 - 11:15 Hörsaal 7 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Tuesday 19.11. 11:30 - 13:00 Hörsaal 8 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Monday 25.11. 09:45 - 11:15 Hörsaal 7 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Tuesday 26.11. 11:30 - 13:00 Hörsaal 8 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Monday 02.12. 09:45 - 11:15 Hörsaal 7 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Tuesday 03.12. 11:30 - 13:00 Hörsaal 8 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Monday 09.12. 09:45 - 11:15 Hörsaal 7 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Tuesday 10.12. 11:30 - 13:00 Hörsaal 8 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Monday 16.12. 09:45 - 11:15 Hörsaal 7 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Tuesday 17.12. 11:30 - 13:00 Hörsaal 8 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Tuesday 07.01. 11:30 - 13:00 Hörsaal 8 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Monday 13.01. 09:45 - 11:15 Hörsaal 7 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Tuesday 14.01. 11:30 - 13:00 Hörsaal 8 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Monday 20.01. 09:45 - 11:15 Hörsaal 7 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Tuesday 21.01. 11:30 - 13:00 Hörsaal 8 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Monday 27.01. 09:45 - 11:15 Hörsaal 7 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
- Tuesday 28.01. 11:30 - 13:00 Hörsaal 8 Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1 1.Stock
Information
Aims, contents and method of the course
To what extent can monetary and fiscal policy stabilize economic activity? How does the economy evolve in the aftermath of a financial market disruption? What is the effect of an increase in uncertainty on macroeconomic variables?In this course, we learn how macroeconomists address such questions empirically. The class has two parts. In Part I, we lay the groundwork and study the most common econometric time-series methods macroeconomists use today. In Part II, we apply these methods and study contemporaneous macroeconomic questions and phenomena. We also contrast the empirical findings with the theories you learned over the course of your degree.
Assessment and permitted materials
One in-class quiz, two problem sets (each accounts for 20% of the final grade) and a final exam (accounts for 40% of the final grade).The minimal requirement for a positive course grade is to achieve 50%.
Minimum requirements and assessment criteria
- Good knowledge of basic econometrics (Introductory Econometrics)
- Basic knowledge of macroeconomics
- Basic knowledge of macroeconomics
Examination topics
- Time-series econometric methods (autoregressive models & moving average models)
- Structural identification strategies used by macroeconomists
- Understanding and interpretation of empirical findings
- Structural identification strategies used by macroeconomists
- Understanding and interpretation of empirical findings
Reading list
Part I: Lecture slides
Background reading: Hamilton (1994). Time Series Analysis, Princeton University Press.Part II: Lecture slides
Background reading: Ramey (2016). Macroeconomic Shocks and Their Propagation, Handbook of Macroeconomics, Elsevier.Further material (if interested, not required!!)Methodology:Jorda (2005). Estimation and Inference of Impulse Responses by Local Projections. The American Economic Review, 95(1):161–182.Sims, C. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality, Econometrica 48(1), 1–48Fiscal Policy: Government SpendingAuerbach, A. J. and Gorodnichenko, Y. (2012b). Measuring the output responses to fiscal policy. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 4(2):1–27Auerbach, A. J. and Gorodnichenko, Y. (2012a). Fiscal multipliers in recession and expansion. In Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis, pages 63–98. Uni- versity of Chicago press.
Barro, R. J. and Redlick, C. J. (2011). Macroeconomic effects from government purchases and taxes. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 126(1):51–102.Blanchard, O. and Perotti, R. (2002). An empirical characterization of the dynamic effects of changes in government spending and taxes on output. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(4):1329–1368.Ramey, V. A. (2011). Identifying government spending shocks: it’s all in the timing. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 126(1):1–50.Ramey, V. A. and Zubairy, S. (2016). Government spending multipliers in good times and in bad: evidence from US historical data. Journal of Political Econ-omy, forthcoming.Mountford, A. & Uhlig, H. (2009). What are the effects of fiscal policy shocks?, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol 24(6), pages 960-992.Fiscal Policy: Tax ChangesBlanchard, O. and Perotti, R. (2002). An empirical characterization of the dy- namic effects of changes in government spending and taxes on output. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(4):1329–1368.Cloyne, J. (2013). Discretionary tax changes and the macroeconomy: new narrative evidence from the United Kingdom. The American Economic Review, 103(4):1507–1528.Mertens, K. and Ravn, M. O. (2013). The dynamic effects of personal and corpo- rate income tax changes in the United States. The American Economic Review, 103(4):1212–1247.Mertens, K. and Ravn, M. O. (2014). A reconciliation of SVAR and narrative estimates of tax multipliers. Journal of Monetary Economics, 68:S1–S19.Perotti, R. (2012). The effects of tax shocks on output: not so large, but not small either. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 4(2):214–237.Romer, C. D. and Romer, D. H. (2010). The Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Changes: Estimates Based on a New Measure of Fiscal Shocks. The American Economic Review, 100:763–801.Mountford, A. & Uhlig, H. (2009). What are the effects of fiscal policy shocks?, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol 24(6), pages 960-992.
Monetary PolicyCloyne, J. and Huertgen, P. (2016). The Macroeconomic Effects of Monetary Policy: A New Measure for the United Kingdom. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 8(4):75–102.Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2005. Time-varying structural vector autoregressions and monetary policy. Oxford University Press, vol. 72(3), pages 821-852.Romer, C., and D. Romer. (1994). A New Measure of Monetary Shocks: Derivation and Implications, American Economic Review 94 (4): 1055–84, 2004Tenreyro, S. and G. Thwaites. (2016). Pushing on a String: US Monetary Policy Is Less Powerful in Recessions, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 8(4): 43-74Uhlig, H. What are the effects of monetary policy on output? Results from an agnostic identification procedure, Journal of Monetary Economics, vol. 52(2), pages 381-419, March 2005
Background reading: Hamilton (1994). Time Series Analysis, Princeton University Press.Part II: Lecture slides
Background reading: Ramey (2016). Macroeconomic Shocks and Their Propagation, Handbook of Macroeconomics, Elsevier.Further material (if interested, not required!!)Methodology:Jorda (2005). Estimation and Inference of Impulse Responses by Local Projections. The American Economic Review, 95(1):161–182.Sims, C. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality, Econometrica 48(1), 1–48Fiscal Policy: Government SpendingAuerbach, A. J. and Gorodnichenko, Y. (2012b). Measuring the output responses to fiscal policy. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 4(2):1–27Auerbach, A. J. and Gorodnichenko, Y. (2012a). Fiscal multipliers in recession and expansion. In Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis, pages 63–98. Uni- versity of Chicago press.
Barro, R. J. and Redlick, C. J. (2011). Macroeconomic effects from government purchases and taxes. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 126(1):51–102.Blanchard, O. and Perotti, R. (2002). An empirical characterization of the dynamic effects of changes in government spending and taxes on output. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(4):1329–1368.Ramey, V. A. (2011). Identifying government spending shocks: it’s all in the timing. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 126(1):1–50.Ramey, V. A. and Zubairy, S. (2016). Government spending multipliers in good times and in bad: evidence from US historical data. Journal of Political Econ-omy, forthcoming.Mountford, A. & Uhlig, H. (2009). What are the effects of fiscal policy shocks?, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol 24(6), pages 960-992.Fiscal Policy: Tax ChangesBlanchard, O. and Perotti, R. (2002). An empirical characterization of the dy- namic effects of changes in government spending and taxes on output. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(4):1329–1368.Cloyne, J. (2013). Discretionary tax changes and the macroeconomy: new narrative evidence from the United Kingdom. The American Economic Review, 103(4):1507–1528.Mertens, K. and Ravn, M. O. (2013). The dynamic effects of personal and corpo- rate income tax changes in the United States. The American Economic Review, 103(4):1212–1247.Mertens, K. and Ravn, M. O. (2014). A reconciliation of SVAR and narrative estimates of tax multipliers. Journal of Monetary Economics, 68:S1–S19.Perotti, R. (2012). The effects of tax shocks on output: not so large, but not small either. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 4(2):214–237.Romer, C. D. and Romer, D. H. (2010). The Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Changes: Estimates Based on a New Measure of Fiscal Shocks. The American Economic Review, 100:763–801.Mountford, A. & Uhlig, H. (2009). What are the effects of fiscal policy shocks?, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol 24(6), pages 960-992.
Monetary PolicyCloyne, J. and Huertgen, P. (2016). The Macroeconomic Effects of Monetary Policy: A New Measure for the United Kingdom. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 8(4):75–102.Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2005. Time-varying structural vector autoregressions and monetary policy. Oxford University Press, vol. 72(3), pages 821-852.Romer, C., and D. Romer. (1994). A New Measure of Monetary Shocks: Derivation and Implications, American Economic Review 94 (4): 1055–84, 2004Tenreyro, S. and G. Thwaites. (2016). Pushing on a String: US Monetary Policy Is Less Powerful in Recessions, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 8(4): 43-74Uhlig, H. What are the effects of monetary policy on output? Results from an agnostic identification procedure, Journal of Monetary Economics, vol. 52(2), pages 381-419, March 2005
Association in the course directory
Last modified: Mo 07.09.2020 15:19